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Publications of Koshmarov Mikhail
Conflict Studies / nota bene, 2024-1
Koshmarov M. - A study of the genesis and transformation of the narratives about the conflict between China and Western countries pp. 74-93

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0617.2024.1.69538

Abstract: The subject of this article is the narratives of the conflict between the Chinese and British empires in the XVIII-XIX centuries and about the Korean War of 1950-1953. The purpose of the study is to identify and analyze stable narratives and cliches about these conflicts, to show their genesis, transformation and target groups. As the analyzed material, the diplomatic correspondence given in A. Toynbee's "A study of History" and in G. Kissinger's "On China" are compared; additional updated sources are considered. The identified inconsistencies in key issues are analyzed by comparing, as well as the situational and historical context of the appearance of these texts and their interpretations. The Cold War narrative about the Chinese delegation to Moscow in 1949-1950 has also been disassembled and deconstructed. The methodological basis of linguistic research of texts consists of content analysis, intent analysis, discourse analysis, narrative analysis. The results revealed distortions of the analyzed narratives about the conflict between the Chinese and British empires in the XVIII-XIX centuries; about the negotiations between the PRC and the USSR in 1949-1950. The primary sources that deserve attention and further research are indicated. Parallels have been drawn between the events under study, which were not previously considered in this way; an analysis has been carried out in the light of the identification of these correlations. The ambiguity and tendentiousness of many theses of Kissinger's work are substantiated. The reasons and the probable target group for which these narratives were created are analyzed. In conclusion, China's declared vision of the development of international relations in connection with the historical context is analyzed. A thesis is put forward on the applicability of the data obtained to predict the current conflict between China and the United States over Taiwan.
Conflict Studies / nota bene, 2022-4
Koshmarov M. - Strategies of Information Dominance in the Context of the Rivalry Between Western and Chinese Concepts of the Future World Order pp. 55-71

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0617.2022.4.39263

Abstract: The article examines the prospects for the development of virtual and augmented reality technologies and artificial neural networks (AI) in the field of the production of social consent. It describes in modern IT terminology and analyzes the concept of the metaverse, the possibilities of such technology in propaganda, solving environmental problems, overpopulation, overconsumption, and achieving sustainable development goals. The object of research of this work is modern society. The subject of the research is new ICT technologies and their impact on global political processes. The purpose of the study is to analyze and forecast the use of such technologies, assess opportunities and risks. The study was conducted by comparative and analytical methods in combination with new terminology describing modern realities. The data are taken from open sources and scientific literature. The results obtained can be used to assess global political trends, global markets and information policy in the short and medium term. The risks and opportunities of new technologies currently being deployed have been assessed. A number of fundamental contradictions of Western and Chinese concepts of civilization development are revealed. A significant asymmetry in the development of the IT industry in Taiwan and the United States, and its impact on the policies of the main players, is described. The data are compared with each other and other studies in this area. Previously, the topic of the metaverse in conjunction with the Sustainable Development Goals has not been studied, which represents a certain scientific novelty. The results obtained allow us to talk about a new phenomenon in the field of communication created by leading IT corporations. An assessment of the risks and prospects of this concept in case of its implementation has been made.
Conflict Studies / nota bene, 2022-2
Koshmarov M. - The conflict of globalization of media consumption: from echo chambers to info capsules pp. 51-62

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0617.2022.2.38030

Abstract: The subject of this article is modern communication technologies. The purpose of the study is to describe the current processes taking place today in the field of information/communication technologies in generally understandable terms to form an overall picture; analysis of these results; forecast of development. The object of research is a modern society on a global scale. The article analyzes the main trends of information strategies, technical innovations in the field of communications, clarifies terminology on this topic. The methodological basis of the research is both general scientific and traditional methods used in political science and economics, using new terminology describing modernity – analysis, synthesis, comparative methods, etc. The main conclusions of the study are the thesis about the beginning of a gradual change in modern society through minor but permanent changes in the modern social contract with the help of new information technologies, as well as about the opacity of such a system. The scientific novelty is represented by the analysis of the concept of an immersive virtual environment that is actively developing today - the metaverse, which today is often called the Internet 2.0. Also, on the basis of primary sources – publications on this topic since the end of the twentieth century and up to modern publications, the terminology in this area has been clarified and systematized. The article points out the existence of a certain contradiction, a conflict inherent in new technologies, from the point of view of political philosophy.
Law and Politics, 2019-11
Koshmarov M. - Propaganda as an instrument of creation of new social contract pp. 84-96

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0706.2019.11.31293

Abstract: The object of this research is the Russian society and modern society in a broad universal sense. The subject of this research is the communication technologies. The goal lies in the analysis and forecast in the short and medium term of social development. In the context of studying political communication, the author analyzes the transitional period in Russia in the last quarter of the XX century from the perspective of transformation of social contracts between the government and society. This research traces the evolution of society using the propaganda tools. The author determines the transformation stated of social contracts in the Soviet Union/Russian Federation, formulates its definitions at each stage of the indicated period, as well as introduces the new approach towards examination of generally known facts and events for the considered period. Such approach opens a new perspective on the ongoing processes of globalization. The acquired results, extrapolated to modern trends of globalization process, allow concluding on further development of the theories and practices used in the indicated period for the establishment of global social contract.
Law and Politics, 2019-11
Koshmarov M. - Propaganda as an instrument of creation of new social contract pp. 84-96

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0706.2019.11.43290

Abstract: The object of this research is the Russian society and modern society in a broad universal sense. The subject of this research is the communication technologies. The goal lies in the analysis and forecast in the short and medium term of social development. In the context of studying political communication, the author analyzes the transitional period in Russia in the last quarter of the XX century from the perspective of transformation of social contracts between the government and society. This research traces the evolution of society using the propaganda tools. The author determines the transformation stated of social contracts in the Soviet Union/Russian Federation, formulates its definitions at each stage of the indicated period, as well as introduces the new approach towards examination of generally known facts and events for the considered period. Such approach opens a new perspective on the ongoing processes of globalization. The acquired results, extrapolated to modern trends of globalization process, allow concluding on further development of the theories and practices used in the indicated period for the establishment of global social contract.
Politics and Society, 2018-12
Koshmarov M. - Opportunities and risks of using artificial intelligence in propaganda pp. 52-62

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0684.2018.12.28325

Abstract: This article explores the possible prospects for the development of the currently existing technologies of artificial neural networks (artificial intelligence) in the area of producing social harmony. The author examines the possible vectors in advancement of such technologies in the short-term and medium-term perspective. The capabilities of such technologies are viewed with regards to optimization of production, resource conservation, solution of environmental and healthcare problems, as well as national security. The risk of using the new technology are viewed in the context of terrorist threat. The possibilities of artificial intelligence by the leading world powers are considered. The research results contain the previously unpublished theses on the capabilities of new technologies of neural networks (artificial intelligence) and potential use of such technologies by the key international players. The author underlines the importance and need for state regulation in this field. A conclusion is made on the relevance of international agreement in the sphere of cyber security.
Politics and Society, 2018-8
Koshmarov M., Trubetskoi A.Y. - The evolution of propaganda. Some aspects of political practice pp. 1-13

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0684.2018.8.26962

Abstract: This article examines the evolution of propaganda since the ancient times until the present stage, as well as the ancient protopropaganda. The authors analyze the transitioning processes from the ancient times to early Christianity from the perspective of state ideology. The article also studies the emergence of Protestantism and its role in development of Capitalism and establishment of the economic system of the XX century, which the authors call the economic model of Keynes-Barnays. The newest propagandistic opportunities and the potential for processing big data is reviewed. The article explores the phenomenon of the recent decade – the social networks as the new instrument of propaganda. The scientific novelty consists in examination of the propagandistic opportunities of Hollywood and the analysis of the potential of big data processing, new terms of implementation of the future consumption, implementation of the behavioral templates, information capsule, description of the postwar economy as the Keynes-Barnays model. A conclusion is made on the singularity of propaganda and the need for further research of this phenomenon.
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