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Social strain in the Zabaikalye territory as a factor of political risk in the activities of the United Russia party

Naryshkina Mariya Valer'evna

External doctoral candidate, the department of Socio-Legal Disciplines, Transbaikal State University; Children’s Rights Ombudsman; Chief Specialist-Expert-Accountant

672000, Russia, Zabaykalsky Krai, Chita, Anokhina Street 67, office #5

narayshkinamary@mail.ru
Другие публикации этого автора
 

 

DOI:

10.7256/2409-8671.2017.1.22614

Review date:

07-04-2017


Publish date:

23-04-2017


Abstract: The research subject is social strain and protest activity as factors of political risk in the activities of the United Russia party. The author presents different interpretations and definitions of the term “social strain”. Special attention is given to the events of the last 2-3 years, which had significant impact on social strain and protest activity growth in the country and its regions (affiliation of Crimea and Sevastopol, anti-Russian sanctions, the “Platon” system launching, etc.). Besides, the author considers the socio-economic situation in the Zabaikalye territory (backdated wages, unemployment, inflation, etc.) as the factors of political risk in the work of the regional branch of the United Russia party. To solve the research tasks, the author uses general scientific research methods: analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction. Besides, the author uses specific research methods: statistical, comparative, extrapolation, modeling, prognostication, content-analysis and analysis of social media.
Based on the analysis, the author concludes that among the significant consequences of the economic and social crisis and dissatisfaction of the population with the party’s policy in Russia, are the party’s rating downgrade, increase of protest sentiment and social strain, electoral behavior change. According to the conducted research, the protest potential of the Zabaikalye territory is significantly higher than in Russia in general. The current socio-economic situation in Russia and in the Zabaikalye territory is one of the factors of political risk in the work of the United Russian party and its regional branch. 


Keywords: Zabaikalye territory, United Russia, backdated wages, economic crisis, political protest, electoral behavior, protest activity, social strain, political parties, political risks
This article written in Russian. You can find full text of article in Russian here .

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